In the years and months leading up to the First World War, all of the great European powers eventually succumbed to the pressure of the situation and mobilized their military forces. War itself wasn’t the aim of the mobilization—up until the last months, hardly anyone thought war would actually happen—instead, the mobilization was intended as sabre rattling, meant to deter aggression by other countries.
Most of Europe’s armies were ready for war by 1914, so it’s no surprise that war was the result.
With all eyes on our war in the Middle East, it’s easy to forget that our old foe, Russia, is not only resurgent but genuinely belligerent. And it is preparing for war.
At least, that’s what the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) thinks is happening. In a report called 2018 Security Outlook, Potential Risks and Threats, the intelligence service makes a stark appraisal of Russia’s current situation: “Russia sees itself as surrounded by an arc of instability and chaos, and engaged in a ’clash of civilizations’. It attributes conflict on its periphery to Western malice and incompetence,” reads the report. “Russia is not modernizing its military primarily to extend its capacity to pursue hybrid warfare. It is modernizing conventional military capability on a large scale; the state is mobilizing for war.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin aboard battlecruiser Pyotr Velikiy during Northern Fleet exercise in 2005. [http://en.kremlin.ru/]
But as Russia mobilizes, so does NATO, which has recently begun moving heavy weapons into Eastern Europe. Both sides are trying to achieve deterrence by showing they are prepared to fight.
No one thinks war is going to happen, but we have fallen into this trap before.
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Does no one remember any history at all? When Gorbachev met with Regan and agreed to allow Germany to re-unite, he was promised that NATO would had no intentions of expanding further east in Europe.
Well,Well- look at what has transpired in the interim. Starting with Clinton, NATO has continued to creep all the way right up to Russia’s border. So much for the two-bit sincerity of NATO, the creation of the USA..
I find it inconceivable that the BIGGEST WAR-making country in the world since WW2 can push its military minions right up against Russia’s borders and not expect a military response at some point.
So the paranoid freaks at CSIS spout the US garbage propaganda that is required by our “neighbor” and we slide down the slope to utter destruction and let slip the Dogs of War.
Hurrah for our side – Hurrah.